VIX and VXX continued their upward trend today with the VIX futures term structure flattening substantially, making it impossible for XIV and ZIV to make any upward progress.
We've been playing in the danger zone ever since the VXX Spike Risk gauge from our Daily Forecasts moved above 5.0 on 5/28, with VXX +16% since then. The flattening of the term structure today marks another possible shift in sentiment and puts the curve at risk of flipping to backwardation.
We're at a point where it is critical that...
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